Dear Crabby, Are the Weathermen ever right?

Dear Crabby,

It seems like the weathermen, or weather people to be more accurate, are never correct in their predictions.  Even these handy little phone apps seem to be wrong most of the time. How can a 20% chance of rain equal a torrential downpour? It seems like in any other business, these people would be fired immediately for such poor performance, but in the weather industry they have no incentive to be accurate because they seem to keep their jobs forever. What’s the deal?

Sincerely, All Fried

Dear All Fried,

Oh I have been frustrated with those weather people for as far back as I can remember! I do not understand how they can keep their jobs either. I try to plan my days by looking ahead to see if it will rain or not, but they are always wrong. I used to ride a motorcycle sometimes so I would try to pick which days to ride to work and which ones not to, based on their predictions. And wouldn’t you know it, they would say clear Monday through Wednesday and chance of rain Thursday and Friday. Then there I was getting poured on while riding a motorcycle to work on Tuesday, and Friday I am driving home in my car and it is sunny and beautiful and some guy zooms by me on his motorcycle while I am all cooped up. I used to have visions of sneaking up behind those weather people and dumping water on their heads to get even. But I know that wouldn’t be very nice. I also remember my friend’s wedding one fine day in June. He was planning an outdoor reception with tents and anDearCrabby outdoor dance area. Of course the weather report showed a 20% chance of rain that day. The church portion of the wedding was beautiful and the sun was shining. The reception was about a mile away. I told my friend that he had better take precaution. He said, “Because of the possible storm?” And I said, “No, because of this woman you just married!” Of course I was just joking with him. Just about the time we were supposed to get our food, some very dark clouds came floating over. About ten minutes later, it was raining cats and dogs and the wind was blowing so hard that several of us had to cling to the tent posts so they didn’t fly away! One tent actually did fly up and land upside down. Thankfully, no one got hurt. If that was only a 20% chance of rain, I can’t imagine what the full 100% would have looked like! I have learned that it is more accurate to call a family member or a friend one state away and ask what their weather is because that is usually the weather we will have the next day. Now I know that I am not that smart, so if I figured that out on my own, why can’t these super smart weather people do the same? Go figure.

Sincerely, Dear Crabby

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About Dear Crabby

Stuck in a rut? Need some biased advice from a crabby old baby-boomer? Read regularly by thousands and loved by some, Dear Crabby answers questions weekly to life's challenges. Send him a note at editor@rochestermedia.com.

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